Joe Biden would beat Donald Trump by 287 electoral college votes to 251 if a presidential election were held today, thanks to razor sharp wins in key battleground states. Biden is also still on course to win the popular vote by 49.6% to 46.7%.

Everyone involved in planning has seen this movie before. On the one hand, a motivated minority of local residents who perceive that they stand to lose from the proposed development. On the other, councillors who want to be responsive to their electorate but never hear from the majority of it.

Engaging on the ground with local communities will always be essential. What our data does is provide a reliable guide to representative opinion in a local area, so that the process is not (as it very often is currently) captured by a vocal minority with the time, inclination and (sometimes) resources to engage in the planning process.

In early June 2024, Europeans will head to the polls to elect a new Parliament. Rumours about a ‘Europe moving right’ are everywhere, but how credible is this scenario?

The “Grey Belt” is an effective communication device for increasing support for development, Stack analysis reveals.

Following the ‘Brexit election’ of 2019, politicians and the media have talked about ‘culture wars’; charged debates on non-economic issues from Brexit to transgender rights. But how much do these social issues really matter to the public? And do events like Brexit herald the start of a new politics or are they a flash in the pan?

A month from today, over 200 million Indonesians will be eligible to vote for their next president. The crucial question in these elections in the world’s largest Muslim-majority nation? Who will succeed popular president Joko Widodo?

More people will vote in 2024 than in any previous year in human history. With so many hotly contested electoral races, this note provides a short look ahead at three major elections in 2024: the US presidential election, the UK general election, and the European Parliament election.

New polling from Stack Data Strategy shows that a majority of British adults support foreign investment into British companies, but that support is not unequivocal. 51% agree that if a British company needs investment to expand, stay competitive or survive, foreign investment should be prioritised if it guarantees their future and saves jobs.

Young and African-American voters are less likely to support Joe Biden than in 2020. Why is this? We have a couple of theories.

Approximately a year before the 2024 US presidential election, Stack published its first set of MRP model estimates for the race. As the largest poll (n=15,205) and the only MRP at this point in the cycle, the results provide an early view of the state of the race before the start of the primaries.

Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden in the electoral college by 292 votes to 246 if a presidential election were held today. Biden is still on course to win the popular vote by 49% to 48%.

Working with Black Sands Communications, we polled over 30,000 people in 15 countries to examine public attitudes to the fight against climate change and how it should be funded and organised. Explore the results in our interactive dashboard here

After a nailbiter of a first round, the current government’s Minister of the Economy Sergio Massa and libertarian outsider Javier Milei are the only ones left standing in the race for the Argentinian presidency. Polls are showing a dead heat between the two. But then again, polls have been badly wrong in this cycle. This note dives deeper into what we know and what we don’t know about the race.

Public opinion continues to shape and constrain house building in the UK. We explore which arguments affect public support for house building and why.

On Saturday, Australians will vote in the historic ‘Indigenous Voice’ referendum, a Labor campaign promise that aims to create an advisory body of Indigenous Australians in the Australian legislative process. Despite Labor officially backing ‘Yes’ and the Liberals campaigning for ‘No’, the referendum splits the supporters of both major parties. Not unlike Brexit, as British readers will already have noted. But how accurate is that parallel?

In a 15-country study, we examined whether exposure to inflation-related reporting and rising prices had moved the dial on the understanding of inflation in the UK and across the world.

Joe Slater’s appearance on BBC Radio 4’s “How to Win a Campaign” on the role of data in building a successful political campaign.

Libertarian outsider candidate Javier Milei’s victory in the Argentinian presidential primaries was a shock to most observers. Within days, Milei skyrocketed from being considered a dark horse to the favourite to win the race for the presidency. So will Milei win? What would that mean for Argentina? And where does Milei’s support come from? We answer these questions with help from our own poll of Argentinian likely voters.

The Polish parliamentary elections of October 15th will be a tight race with large consequences for the EU. Will the United Right (PiS) secure a third term? Will Donald Tusk’s opposition take Poland back to a more pro-EU course? Or will, as many analysts expect, there be a hung Parliament?